A bare majority of New Jersey voters are aware that the state legislature is up for election in a few weeks, and fewer really care. The results of the latest Monmouth University poll suggest that statewide opinion of the legislature as a whole will translate to very little change in the 40 district contests.
When averaged together, 41% of New Jersey voters say they will vote Democratic, 36% will vote Republican, and 5% will split their vote. Among the most engaged group of voters – and thus the most likely to turn out on November 8 – 43% say they will vote Democratic, 37% will vote Republican, and 3% will split their vote.